The Oregon Biz Report - Business News from Oregon

Read about accutane journal moderate acne here

Which states are most vulnerable to Europe crisis?

October 28, 2011

State Risk of Recession from Europe’s Financial Crisis
By Bill Conerly, Businomics, Conerly Consulting

The greatest risk to the United States economy right now is a recession triggered by the European financial crisis. Even though my best estimate is that we will avoid a recession, the risk is certainly high.

I’m writing an article for bankers on this topic, and I wondered how much states varied in their exports to Europe. My own state of Oregon has a fairly high level of exports relative to GDP, but a relatively light share of its exports head to Europe. As a data guy, I did the obvious: grab some numbers and command Excel to do the long division. (Exports are from http://tse.export.gov/TSE/TSEHome.aspx, and GDP comes from http://www.bea.gov/)

Exports to Europe

The data are not perfect, but they do give a general idea of how high each state’s direct risk from Europe is. I say direct risk because there’s also indirect risk: if a bunch of East Coast states go into recession, the West Coast can’t avoid it even though their direct exports to Europe are small.

  
Print This Post Print This Post    Email This Post Email This Post

Discuss this article

no comments yet

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Top Business News

 

Top Women's News

 

Top Natural Resource News

 

Top Faith News

 

Copyright © 2016, OregonReport. All Rights Reserved. | Terms of Use - Copyright - Legal Policy | Contact Oregon Report

Stay Tuned...

Stay up to date with the latest political news and commentary from Oregon Business Report through daily email updates:

Delivered by FeedBurner

Prefer another subscription option? Subscribe to our RSS Feed, become a fan on Facebook, or follow us on Twitter.

RSS Twitter Facebook

No Thanks (close this box)