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International Economic Forecast 2012-2013

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by Bill Conerly
Conerly Consulting [2], Businomics [3]

I’ve described my international economic forecast [4] over on my Forbes site, comparing my views to the recent International Monetary Fund World Economic Outlook, April 2012. For a quick preview, consider the risks to the global economic outlook:

International Forecast
[5]

The height of the line shows the probability. “Muddle through” is the most likely scenario. Moving left, there’s the risk of a war with Iran, and then an even greater risk that Europe flames out in a financial crisis. More details at Forbes.com.

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